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US Banks Stress Test
IF a severe recession hits, how would the US banks fare? Based on the stress testing of the 23 large US banks, they have enough capital...
Frank Tian
Jul 1, 20231 min read
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Old Bank/Card Model Still On Fire
The Economist recently published a piece to highlight the resilience of credit cards in developed economies. In the US, the credit card...
Frank Tian
Jun 7, 20231 min read
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Canadian Banks Q2 Reserve Update
๐จ๐ฆ Banks Q2 Reports Another quarter with a modest reserve increase. In Q2 (ending Apr), the collective reserves of the big 5 Canadian...
Frank Tian
May 23, 20231 min read
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US Q1 Consumer Credit Update
With the banking crisis in March, How is US consumer credit doing? Here is the Q1 โ23 Fed report: ๐ Quarterly debt growth slowed to...
Frank Tian
May 15, 20231 min read
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Buffet/Munger on Banking
If Forbes were to create a list of "90 Above 90", Buffett and Munger would be on it unanimously. On May 7, the 92 and 99 years young duo...
Frank Tian
May 13, 20232 min read
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๐ธCheck-kiting - Live and Large
In the 2002 movie โCatch Me If You Canโ, Leonardo DiCaprio played a top con man who defrauded many banks with fake checks - that was in...
Frank Tian
May 5, 20231 min read
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US Banks Mortgage Origination Continued to Tank
The top 4 banks saw their collected mortgage origination down ~80% in Q1 vs. the average in the last 3 years. ๐ Fast interest rate hikes...
Frank Tian
Apr 23, 20231 min read
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US Banks Consumer Deposit Update
After the regional bank crisis in March, How is consumer deposit changing at the largest US banks? In Q1, the largest 4 US banks saw...
Frank Tian
Apr 19, 20231 min read
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Canadian Banking - 100 Years History
After the 2008 Great Financial Crisis, a friend in Asia asked me what made Canada largely stay out of trouble. One of my colleagues said...
Frank Tian
Apr 1, 20231 min read
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๐ Specialty Banks ๐
The traditional full-service banking model has been challenged by many specialized operators. However, the current banking crisis...
Frank Tian
Mar 26, 20231 min read
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๐ฆ Public Assisted, Private Operated
The rescue of depositors in Silicon Valley Bank proves again the banking system is public assisted, privately operated. After all, banks...
Frank Tian
Mar 20, 20231 min read
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SVB Life Lesson
I was surprised to realize the SVB event had reached beyond the banking/tech world, Arriving at my family dinner table last night. My...
Frank Tian
Mar 16, 20231 min read
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๐จ๐ฆ Bank Reserves
The 3-year Pandemic Journey ๐จ๐ฆ Bank Reserves Big 5 Canadian banks started the 1st quarter in fiscal year โ23 with another allowance...
Frank Tian
Mar 13, 20231 min read
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Card Players Jockey for Position
๐ณ With credit card balances surging back, lenders continue to jockey for positions in the competitive field. ๐ ๐ Wells Fargo launches...
Frank Tian
Feb 26, 20232 min read
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๐ 2023 Stress Test Scenario is Out
On Feb 10, the Fed released this yearโs stress testing scenario. It is an annual exercise to gauge the largest US banksโ capabilities to...
Frank Tian
Feb 14, 20231 min read
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An Unthinkable Partnership
Do you know who is enabling payments behind the coin purchase or virtual gift redemption on TikTok? Here is an unthinkable answer to...
Frank Tian
Jan 25, 20231 min read
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Crypto Winter Froze Silvergate Bank
If you havenโt heard of Silvergate Bank, you are not alone. It is a bank in San Diego, California. I worked at San Diego for 5 years and...
Frank Tian
Jan 23, 20231 min read
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๐๏ธ US banksโ Q4 Update - Mortgage
The mortgage origination continued to collapse. The top 4 banks - JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America, Citi, and Wells Fargo - collected...
Frank Tian
Jan 19, 20231 min read
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๐จ US Banks Accelerated Reserve Building.
But it is not as bad as it sounds. The top 4 US banks accelerated their reserve building in Q4 โ22: +$2.9B, or +4.4% Q/Q. This is the 3rd...
Frank Tian
Jan 15, 20231 min read
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9 Things to Watch in Consumer Credit.
1. Will the central bank succeed in taming high inflation with a soft landing? The ideal scenario for businesses and consumers: the...
Frank Tian
Jan 1, 20232 min read
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