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How to Lend Money to Strangers - Podcast Dropped
๐ถ Do you know the Coffin Dance? The meme music somehow showed up in my conversation with Brendan Le Grange on his podcast. The...
Frank Tian
May 11, 20231 min read
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Recession? Soft Landing? US Macro
Recession? Soft landing? The outlook is between gloomy and sunny.
Frank Tian
May 9, 20231 min read
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Piano Lesson - Be Simple
๐น Spring is the piano competition season and my son is playing in a few festivals. I am not trained in music in any way but figured I...
Frank Tian
May 7, 20231 min read
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๐ธCheck-kiting - Live and Large
In the 2002 movie โCatch Me If You Canโ, Leonardo DiCaprio played a top con man who defrauded many banks with fake checks - that was in...
Frank Tian
May 5, 20231 min read
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๐ถ What is the EUโs crypto regulation MiCA?
Summary of key items: On 4/20, the EU parliament passed the Markets in Crypto Act (MiCA). The implosions of crypto exchanges in 2022 led...
Frank Tian
May 3, 20231 min read
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Chase/FRB Transaction Overview
Stayed calm - both the market and the public. The fall of First Republic Bank did not trigger the panic button as the previous bank...
Frank Tian
May 1, 20231 min read
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๐จ๐ฆ Latest Financial Risk Outlook
In April, the Canadian financial regulator OSFI released its annual outlook of financial system risks. 1๏ธโฃ Housing market downturn risk...
Frank Tian
Apr 29, 20231 min read
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๐จ Hotel California and the American Economy
๐๐ช๐ณ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ด ๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ค๐ฆ๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฑ๐ช๐ฏ๐ฌ ๐ค๐ฉ๐ข๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ข๐จ๐ฏ๐ฆ ๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ด๐ข๐ช๐ฅ, '๐๐ฆ ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ข๐ญ๐ญ...
Frank Tian
Apr 27, 20232 min read
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US Banks Reserves Update
๐จ With the banking crisis in March, What is the impact on US banks' upcoming credit loss? Based on the latest Q1 โ23 reserve changes,...
Frank Tian
Apr 25, 20231 min read
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US Banks Mortgage Origination Continued to Tank
The top 4 banks saw their collected mortgage origination down ~80% in Q1 vs. the average in the last 3 years. ๐ Fast interest rate hikes...
Frank Tian
Apr 23, 20231 min read
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๐ณ Consumers Continue to Shop on Cards
The top 4 US banks had another solid quarter with credit cards. This is the advantage of the diversified business model at full-service...
Frank Tian
Apr 21, 20231 min read
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US Banks Consumer Deposit Update
After the regional bank crisis in March, How is consumer deposit changing at the largest US banks? In Q1, the largest 4 US banks saw...
Frank Tian
Apr 19, 20231 min read
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Another $1M Bet from Buffett
๐ฑ A Missed Voicemail In September 2008, the then-president of Barclays, Bob Diamond, left a voicemail for Mr. Buffett, attempting to...
Frank Tian
Apr 17, 20232 min read
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Small Medical Collections Removed
The 3 major credit bureaus removed the medical collections records under $500 on April 11th, 2023. This is one of the actions in response...
Frank Tian
Apr 15, 20231 min read
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When Walmart Wants to Offer Credit โฆ
20 years ago, I was in a meeting to discuss the possible expansion of a private label credit card with a grocery store partner. One...
Frank Tian
Apr 13, 20231 min read
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๐ฐ 6 Consumer Credit Items To Know in 2023 Canadian Budget
All appear in the 1st chapter โMaking Life More Affordable and Supporting the Middle Classโ, a clear indication of the policy priority....
Frank Tian
Apr 11, 20232 min read
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OpenAI, BloombergGPT, and Coca-Cola
As I wrapped up my book 2.5 years ago, I identified some opportunities in consumer credit risk management. While I didnโt know about the...
Frank Tian
Apr 9, 20232 min read
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Personal Finance - Credit Card Payment
๐ณ A personal finance writer reached out with the following question for her audience: โAre there any benefits to making multiple credit...
Frank Tian
Apr 7, 20231 min read
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Stay Calm - What happened to banks/consumers
Stay calm. The message from the SVB CEO was not enough. It took a series of actions from the US president, the Treasury, multiple...
Frank Tian
Apr 5, 20231 min read
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Risk Manager - A Thankless Job
Had SVB not failed, nobody would notice the absence of their top risk manager in 2022. This perfectly illustrates the role of risk and...
Frank Tian
Apr 3, 20231 min read
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