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2022 US Banks Stress Testing Result
With the possible imminent recession, how would the US banks fare? Based on the stress testing of the 34 largest US banks, they have...
Frank Tian
Jul 17, 20221 min read
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Recession Risk Management
The fear of recession quickly spreads in the last 3 months. Meanwhile, the consumer credit loss rate is still historically low. How to...
Frank Tian
Jul 9, 20222 min read
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Credit Card Benchmarking Resources
Probably prompted by the fast-moving macro economy, a few connections recently asked me where to get credit card benchmarking metrics....
Frank Tian
Jul 5, 20221 min read
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Inflation Management and Risk Management
US inflation reached a new 40-year high at 8.6% in May. How could the policymaker manage inflation differently? Why not look at the risk...
Frank Tian
Jun 25, 20222 min read
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Apple Late for the Pay Later Party
Apple rolled out its own BNPL product - “Apple Pay Later”. It is a questionable move, given the timing and the strategic shift. 🚩...
Frank Tian
Jun 20, 20222 min read
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BNPL - Underwrite Your Loan
As Professor G gave his quick take on BNPL, He mentioned credit card guardrails. What guardrails? Many wonders. There are 2 things that...
Frank Tian
Jun 19, 20222 min read
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Morgan Stanley - Consumer Deposit
As the stimulus benefit gradually recedes, consumer delinquency will continue to normalize/increase in 2022 - first with the subprime...
Frank Tian
Jun 15, 20221 min read
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CFPB on Black-Box Models
Your model is complicated, But you still need to explain it. That is the latest reminder from CFPB. ECOA mandates lenders to explain...
Frank Tian
Jun 11, 20221 min read
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Survive 3 Recessions
Given the rapidly shifting market lately, I couldn’t help thinking about the words I heard back in 2008, From the CRO of a large US...
Frank Tian
Jun 9, 20221 min read
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Subprime Loans Again?
A WSJ report highlights the rising delinquencies of subprime loans. Some are wondering - have we learned anything from 2008? Actually,...
Frank Tian
Jun 4, 20221 min read
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Housing Market Update - April
🏠 Market Update Canadian housing is such a hot topic now, Even Simu Liu had to take a jab at it in his Juno Award speech. 🇨🇦 After a...
Frank Tian
Jun 1, 20221 min read
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Credit Card In Rate Rising Cycle
As the interest rate, the rising cycle begins, How does that impact the credit card industry? This Financial Brand piece highlights...
Frank Tian
May 30, 20221 min read
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BNPL impact on FICO (2)
My last post on BNPL’s impact on FICO drew strong interest from the community. Why do the two recent studies show conflicting results? I...
Frank Tian
May 26, 20222 min read
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Open Banking in the US
The market continues to develop while regulatory rulemaking is slow. As reported by Reuters, the open banking rulemaking is held up due...
Frank Tian
May 24, 20221 min read
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Payment + BNPL
Lately in the competitive payment space, Payment companies begin to partner with BNPL providers. Here are the latest examples: Visa...
Frank Tian
May 22, 20221 min read
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Q1 Credit Update
In the eventful Q1 2022, How is the US household credit doing? Here is the latest quarterly report from the Fed: US household debt up...
Frank Tian
May 20, 20221 min read
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Middle Class is Mad
The economic data is great, But the middle class is mad. Why? This Time article details the struggle of today’s middle class. And the...
Frank Tian
May 16, 20221 min read
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An Active CFPB
A dormant authority being activated by the regulator CFPB invokes the authority to examine non-bank companies. This move clearly targets...
Frank Tian
May 10, 20221 min read
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💳 Q1 '22: Consumers Pulled Out Cards Again
In the most recent financial quarter, Visa credit cardholders shopped 22% more Y/Y; MasterCard credit cardholders shopped 19% more Y/Y....
Frank Tian
May 6, 20221 min read
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Housing Market Update - March
🏠 As the interest rate starts to rise Housing and mortgage markets begin to cool down US: March existing home sales volume Y/Y -4.5%...
Frank Tian
May 4, 20221 min read
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